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Just released: this month’s featured books from your Library! Place a hold now or look for copies on display at your local branch during September.

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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner

Everyone could benefit from seeing further into the future, whether it’s buying stocks, launching a new product, or planning this week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. Yet in social scientist Philip Tetlock’s Good Judgment Project, he discovered an elite group of ordinary people (including a filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer) who could make more accurate predictions than those with access to classified information. What made these people so good? And can this talent be taught?